Lillestrom
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 30
Nov 13, 2022 at 4pm UK
Arasen Stadion

Lillestrom
3 - 1
HamKam

Lehne Olsen (22'), Adams (56'), Dragsnes (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lonstad Onsrud (11')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Lillestrom and HamKam.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aalesund 2-1 Lillestrom
Sunday, November 6 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: HamKam 1-2 Tromso
Sunday, November 6 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 50.78%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest HamKam win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.

Result
LillestromDrawHamKam
50.78% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)22.37% (0.0040000000000013 0)26.85% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 62.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.56% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)37.44% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)59.66% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.01% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)14.99% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)43.44% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
HamKam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)26.48% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)61.66% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lillestrom 50.78%
    HamKam 26.86%
    Draw 22.37%
LillestromDrawHamKam
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 7.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.99%
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.89%
5-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 50.78%
1-1 @ 10.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 26.86%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
HamKam
2-2
Lillestrom
Eriksen (11'), Enkerud (21')
Edh (65'), Adams (70')
Ogbu (33')
rhs 2.0


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