Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HamKam win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a HamKam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.