Euro 2022

Women's European Championship | Group Stage

Jul 10, 2022 at 8pm UK

AESSEAL New York Stadium

France Women
5 - 1
Italy Women

Geyoro (9', 40', 45'), Katoto (12'), Cascarino (38')

FT(HT: 5-0)

Piemonte (76')
Boattin (16'), Simonetti (52'), Gama (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's European Championship clash between France Women and Italy Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

France Women

Last Six:

Last Game: France Women 1-2 USA Women
Friday, June 28 at 8pm in Women's World Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France Women	0	0	0
2	Italy Women	0	0	0
3	Iceland Women	0	0	0
4	Belgium Women	0	0	0

Italy Women

Last Six:

Last Game: Italy Women 0-2 N'lands Women
Saturday, June 29 at 2pm in Women's World Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France Women	0	0	0
2	Italy Women	0	0	0
3	Iceland Women	0	0	0
4	Belgium Women	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Women win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Italy Women had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.71%) and 2-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Italy Women win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France Women would win this match.

Result
France Women	Draw	Italy Women
46.24% ( 0)	21.44% ( -0.03)	32.33% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 69.98% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.75% (

0.2)

29.26% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.71% (

0.24)

50.29% (

-0.23)

France Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.51% (

0.08)

13.5% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.48% (

0.15)

40.52% (

-0.14)

Italy Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.9% (

0.11)

19.1% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.28% (

0.19)

50.72% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

France Women 46.24%

Italy Women 32.33%

Draw 21.44%

France Women	Draw	Italy Women
2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 46.24%	1-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.44%	1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 32.33%