Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-0 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Falkirk |
| 30.82% | 24.83% | 44.34% |
| Both teams to score 56.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.67% | 46.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.38% | 68.62% |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% | 28.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.99% | 64.01% |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% | 20.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.31% | 53.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 7.48% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 4.72% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.73% Total : 30.82% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 5.93% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 9.26% 1-2 @ 9.14% 0-2 @ 7.24% 1-3 @ 4.76% 0-3 @ 3.77% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.65% Total : 44.34% |