Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Ural Yekaterinburg	Draw	Spartak Moscow
30.01%	27.04%	42.94%

Both teams to score 49.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.24%

55.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.11%

76.89%

Ural Yekaterinburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.33%

33.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.68%

70.32%

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.28%

25.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.36%

60.63%

Score Analysis

Ural Yekaterinburg 30.02%

Spartak Moscow 42.93%

Draw 27.04%

Ural Yekaterinburg	Draw	Spartak Moscow
1-0 @ 9.42% 2-1 @ 6.97% 2-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.02%	1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.66% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.04%	0-1 @ 11.75% 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 7.98% 1-3 @ 3.94% 0-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.93%