Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 53.32%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ajaccio in this match.