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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Barrow |
| 36.61% | 28.26% | 35.13% |
| Both teams to score 46.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.77% | 59.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.35% | 79.65% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.02% | 30.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.72% | 67.28% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.08% | 31.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.63% | 68.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 11.58% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 6.79% 3-1 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.6% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 9.89% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.26% | 0-1 @ 11.29% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 6.45% 1-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.13% |