Torino logo
Coppa Italia | Second Round
Oct 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico

Torino
4 - 0
Cittadella

Radonjic (21'), Pellegri (55'), Schuurs (76'), Zima (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Cittadella and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Torino 0-1 Juventus
Saturday, October 15 at 5pm in Serie A

Cittadella

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Cittadella 0-0 SPAL
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawCittadella
43.25% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)27.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.88% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.35% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.79% (0.016999999999996 0.02)59.21% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.37% (0.012 0.01)79.63% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85%27.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45%62.55% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Cittadella Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.62% (0.023999999999994 0.02)36.38% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.83% (0.023 0.02)73.17% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Torino 43.24%
    Cittadella 28.88%
    Draw 27.87%
TorinoDrawCittadella
1-0 @ 12.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 8.4% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.2%
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 43.24%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 9.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.87%
0-1 @ 9.99%
1-2 @ 6.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 28.88%

How you voted: Cittadella vs Torino

Cittadella
29.0%
Draw
6.5%
Torino
64.5%
62
rhs 2.0


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