Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Luneng Taishan win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Tianjin Tianhai had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Tianjin Tianhai win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Luneng Taishan would win this match.
