Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 29, 2025 at 7pm UK

Comoros
0 - 0
Mali

Toibibou (34'), Boura (79'), Fardou Ben (90+1')

Camara (47')
Haidara (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Comoros and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Comoros

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Comoros 0-0 Mali
Monday, December 29 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Mali

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Comoros 0-0 Mali
Monday, December 29 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.35% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 18.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.1%) and 1-2 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.39%) , while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Comoros	Draw	Mali
18.49% ( 3.86)	28.35% ( 4.43)	53.15% ( -8.28)

Both teams to score 35.95% (

-3.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.62% (

-8.51)

67.38% (

8.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.48% (

-6.15)

85.52% (

6.15)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.63% (

0.01)

51.37% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.41% (

0.01)

85.59% (

-0.01)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.93% (

-7.09)

26.07% (

7.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.88% (

-10.59)

61.12% (

10.6)

Score Analysis

Comoros 18.5%

Mali 53.15%

Draw 28.35%

Comoros	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 8.92% ( 2.43) 2-1 @ 4% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.81) Other @ 2.61% Total : 18.5%	0-0 @ 13.39% ( 3.64) 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 1.2) 2-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.28% Total : 28.35%	0-1 @ 18% ( 1.8) 0-2 @ 12.1% ( -1.36) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.91) 0-3 @ 5.42% ( -2.03) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -1.35) 0-4 @ 1.82% ( -1.28) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.85) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.45) Other @ 1.71% Total : 53.15%