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Africa Cup of Nations

Comoros national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Dec 28, 2025 at 11pm UK
 
Mali national football team

Comoros
vs.
Mali

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Comoros and Mali.

Form, Standings, Stats

Comoros

All competitions
Last Game: Comoros 4-0 Namibia
Monday, November 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Morocco vs. Comoros
Sunday, December 21 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Mali

All competitions
Last Game: Jordan 0-0 Mali
Tuesday, November 18 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Mali vs. Zambia
Monday, December 22 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mali win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw has a probability of 24.31% and a win for Comoros has a probability of 16.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win is 0-1 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.5%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.19%) , while for a Comoros win it is 1-0 (6.8%).

Result
ComorosDrawMali
16.52% (0.0019999999999989 0)24.31%59.17% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 42.08% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.58% (0.0039999999999978 0)57.41% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)78.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.13% (0.0049999999999955 0)47.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.86% (0.0040000000000013 0)83.13% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.72% (0.00099999999999056 0)19.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.99% (0.0020000000000024 0)51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Comoros 16.52%
    Mali 59.16%
    Draw 24.3%
ComorosDrawMali
1-0 @ 6.8%
2-1 @ 4.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 2.5%
3-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 16.52%
1-1 @ 11.19%
0-0 @ 9.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 15.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 12.5%
1-2 @ 9.21%
0-3 @ 6.86%
1-3 @ 5.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 2.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 59.16%

Head to Head
Sep 4, 2025 8pm
Group Stage
Mali
3-0
Comoros
> Preview
Mar 20, 2025 9pm
Group Stage
Comoros
0-3
Mali

Boura (65'), M'Dahoma (87')
Dorgeles (20'), Doumbia (55', 63')
rhs 2.0


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