World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 20, 2025 at 9pm UK

Stade Municipal de Berkane

Comoros
0 - 3
Mali

Boura (65'), M'Dahoma (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dorgeles (20'), Doumbia (55', 63')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Comoros and Mali.

Form, Standings, Stats

Comoros

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Comoros 1-0 Madagascar
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Mali

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Mali 6-0 Eswatini
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.96%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.39%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result
Comoros	Draw	Mali
18.78%	27.67% ( 0)	53.55% ( -0)

Both teams to score 37.73% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.71% (

-0.01)

65.29% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.91% (

-0.01)

84.09% (

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.25% (

-0.01)

49.75% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.52% (

-0)

84.48% (

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.09% (

-0.01)

24.91% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.46% (

-0.01)

59.54% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Comoros 18.78%

Mali 53.54%

Draw 27.66%

Comoros	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.2% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.02% 3-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.93% Total : 18.78%	0-0 @ 12.39% 1-1 @ 12.02% 2-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 27.66%	0-1 @ 17.22% 0-2 @ 11.96% 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.93% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 53.54%