Pen-y-Bont

1 - 5

Bala Town

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.