Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 1
Pen-y-Bont

Hayes (82')
Thomas (18'), Williams (44'), Edwards (67'), Brookwell (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Davies (75')
Evans (21'), Harling (69')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pen-y-Bont.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawPen-y-Bont
46.2%25.1%28.7%
Both teams to score 54.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.43%48.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.31%70.69%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.95%21.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.15%53.85%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09%30.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8%67.2%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 46.2%
    Pen-y-Bont 28.7%
    Draw 25.09%
Caernarfon TownDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.28%
2-0 @ 7.9%
3-1 @ 4.82%
3-0 @ 4.1%
3-2 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 46.2%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.51%
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.64%
1-2 @ 6.99%
0-2 @ 4.49%
1-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 28.7%

rhs 2.0


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