Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 4, 2021 at 1pm UK
Estadio Saroldi

River Plate
0 - 4
Danubio


Viera (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Comachi (3'), Mendez (29'), Paiva (41'), Deorta (90+6')
Labandeira (16'), Fritzler (18')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Danubio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawDanubio
34.98%27.98%37.04%
Both teams to score 47.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.8%58.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16%78.84%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51%31.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.13%67.87%
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.81%30.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.65%66.35%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 34.98%
    Danubio 37.03%
    Draw 27.97%
River PlateDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.45%
3-2 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.98%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.97%
0-1 @ 11.38%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-2 @ 6.82%
1-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 1.82%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 37.03%

rhs 2.0


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