Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
May 31, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
1 - 0
Sud America

Bergessio (61', 62')
Fernandez (30'), Candido (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Triunfo (32'), Mouche (36'), Mathias Lewis Rodriguez (39'), Lewis (39'), Pereyra (62'), (63')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Sud America.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Sud America had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Sud America win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
NacionalDrawSud America
40.97%27.7%31.33%
Both teams to score 47.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.24%57.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.5%78.5%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31%27.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75%63.25%
Sud America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24%33.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58%70.42%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 40.97%
    Sud America 31.33%
    Draw 27.69%
NacionalDrawSud America
1-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 8.37%
2-0 @ 7.71%
3-1 @ 3.58%
3-0 @ 3.3%
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.15%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 40.97%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.35%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 10.15%
1-2 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 5.51%
1-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 31.33%

rhs 2.0


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