Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 1
Jul 25, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion Yuro Gagarin

Desna
3 - 0
Chornomorets

Kalitvintsev (51', 56'), Zaviyskiy (80')
Selin (35'), Kalitvintsev (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Biloshevskyi (20'), Avagimian (37'), Vanat (78')
Biloshevskyi (39')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Chornomorets Odesa.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.

Result
Desna ChernihivDrawChornomorets Odesa
37.84%27.39%34.76%
Both teams to score 49.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44%56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.91%77.09%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36%28.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.56%64.44%
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48%30.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.25%66.74%
Score Analysis
    Desna Chernihiv 37.83%
    Chornomorets Odesa 34.76%
    Draw 27.39%
Desna ChernihivDrawChornomorets Odesa
1-0 @ 10.92%
2-1 @ 8.11%
2-0 @ 6.83%
3-1 @ 3.38%
3-0 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 37.83%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 8.74%
2-2 @ 4.81%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 10.37%
1-2 @ 7.7%
0-2 @ 6.15%
1-3 @ 3.05%
0-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 1.9%
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 34.76%

rhs 2.0


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