Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia Under-21s win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Montenegro Under-21s had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Montenegro Under-21s win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that North Macedonia Under-21s would win this match.
