European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Nov 17, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Nacionalna Arena Filip II

North Macedonia U21s
2 - 1
Montenegro U21s

Gjorgjievski (13'), Miovski (78' pen.)
Sheji (36'), Todoroski (58'), Stoimenovski (75'), Fazlagikj (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Krstovic (86')
Krstovic (37'), Milic (77'), Obradovic (90+7')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between North Macedonia Under-21s and Montenegro Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia Under-21s win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Montenegro Under-21s had a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Montenegro Under-21s win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that North Macedonia Under-21s would win this match.

Result
North Macedonia Under-21sDrawMontenegro Under-21s
53.25%23.77%22.98%
Both teams to score 53.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.53%47.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.32%69.68%
North Macedonia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23%17.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.54%48.46%
Montenegro Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.01%34.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.27%71.73%
Score Analysis
    North Macedonia Under-21s 53.24%
    Montenegro Under-21s 22.98%
    Draw 23.76%
North Macedonia Under-21sDrawMontenegro Under-21s
1-0 @ 10.73%
2-1 @ 9.75%
2-0 @ 9.28%
3-1 @ 5.61%
3-0 @ 5.34%
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 2.43%
4-0 @ 2.31%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 53.24%
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 6.22%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 6.53%
1-2 @ 5.92%
0-2 @ 3.43%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 22.98%

rhs 2.0


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