Lugano

2 - 1

Basel

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.