Rayo Vallecano

4 - 1

Real Oviedo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 41.54%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 28.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.