Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.3%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 25.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.73%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.