Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 43.02%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 27.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Girona in this match.