Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 57.77%. A win for Manchester United Under-23s had a probability of 21.48% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-23s | Draw | Manchester United Under-23s |
| 57.77% | 20.75% | 21.48% |
| Both teams to score 61.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.49% | 35.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.45% | 57.56% |
| Manchester City Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.82% | 12.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.18% | 37.82% |
| Manchester United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% | 29.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.33% | 65.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Under-23s | Draw | Manchester United Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% 2-0 @ 8% 1-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 6.83% 3-0 @ 5.61% 3-2 @ 4.15% 4-1 @ 3.59% 4-0 @ 2.96% 4-2 @ 2.19% 5-1 @ 1.51% 5-0 @ 1.24% 5-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.43% Total : 57.77% | 1-1 @ 9.24% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 3.61% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.75% | 1-2 @ 5.62% 0-1 @ 4.39% 0-2 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.04% Total : 21.48% |


