Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 46.14% | 26.37% | 27.49% |
| Both teams to score 49.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.64% | 54.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.26% | 75.74% |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% | 23.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.44% | 57.56% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.12% | 34.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.39% | 71.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 11.87% 2-1 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.14% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 8.2% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 8.64% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.13% Total : 27.49% |