Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 46.93% | 23.99% | 29.08% |
| Both teams to score 58.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.55% | 43.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.15% | 65.84% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% | 18.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.98% | 50.02% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.98% | 28.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.33% | 63.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% 1-0 @ 8.78% 2-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 5.24% 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 3.33% 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.39% Total : 46.93% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.99% | 1-2 @ 7.11% 0-1 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.24% 1-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 1.8% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.78% Total : 29.08% |