Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 39.07% | 25.64% | 35.29% |
| Both teams to score 55.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.3% | 48.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.19% | 70.8% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.46% | 24.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.98% | 59.01% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% | 26.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.11% | 61.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 1-0 @ 9.19% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.06% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.07% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.65% 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.17% Total : 35.29% |