League Two

League Two | Gameweek 37

Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Dennis (67')
Lavelle (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Maycock (2'), Smith (49')
Furlong (15'), Hutchinson (87')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 43.45%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.03%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
28.03% ( 0.32)	28.52% ( 0.01)	43.45% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 44.16% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.26% (

0.12)

61.74% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.46% (

0.09)

81.54% (

-0.09)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.54% (

0.34)

38.46% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.79% (

0.32)

75.21% (

-0.32)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.76% (

-0.11)

28.24% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.06% (

-0.15)

63.94% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 28.02%

AFC Wimbledon 43.45%

Draw 28.52%

Carlisle United	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.58% Total : 28.02%	1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.52%	0-1 @ 13.73% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 43.45%