MX23RW : Sunday, April 27 20:38:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
AFC Wimbledon

Carlisle
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Dennis (67')
Lavelle (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maycock (2'), Smith (49')
Furlong (15'), Hutchinson (87')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 43.45%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.03%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
28.03% (0.325 0.32) 28.52% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 43.45% (-0.325 -0.32)
Both teams to score 44.16% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.26% (0.124 0.12)61.74% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.46% (0.091999999999999 0.09)81.54% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.54% (0.34 0.34)38.46% (-0.335 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.79% (0.322 0.32)75.21% (-0.318 -0.32)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.76% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)28.24% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06% (-0.146 -0.15)63.94% (0.15000000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 28.02%
    AFC Wimbledon 43.45%
    Draw 28.52%
Carlisle UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 10.37% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.27% (0.065 0.07)
2-0 @ 4.96% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 2% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.58% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.26% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 28.02%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.86% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.52%
0-1 @ 13.73% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 8.68% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.66% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 43.45%

Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 11
AFC Wimbledon
4-0
Carlisle
Stevens (8', 39', 50'), Harper (45+3' og.)
Maycock (6'), Harbottle (56')

Barclay (34'), Vela (60')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Carlisle
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Guy (45'), Dennis (81')
Assal (59')
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
Aug 22, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4523121071492281
2Port Vale452214965452080
3Bradford CityBradford4521121263451875
4Walsall4520141174542074
5Notts County4520121367472072
6AFC Wimbledon4519131355352070
7Salford City4518141362521068
8Grimsby Town45208176166-568
9Chesterfield4518131472541867
10Colchester UnitedColchester451618115247566
11Bromley451615146159263
12Crewe AlexandraCrewe451517134947262
13Swindon TownSwindon451516147163861
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood451515156059160
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham451612176067-760
16BarrowBarrow451513175250258
17Gillingham451316164046-655
18MK Dons45149225266-1451
19Accrington StanleyAccrington451214195368-1550
20Harrogate TownHarrogate451311214160-1950
21Newport CountyNewport451310225172-2149
22Tranmere RoversTranmere451115194164-2348
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle451011244269-2741
24Morecambe45106293970-3136


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