Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 46.31%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.