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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 46.31%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Walsall |
| 26.57% ( | 27.13% ( | 46.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.29% ( | 57.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.54% ( | 78.46% ( |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.55% ( | 37.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.76% ( | 74.24% ( |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.09% ( | 24.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.47% ( | 59.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Walsall |
| 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 2-1 @ 6.25% ( 2-0 @ 4.5% ( 3-1 @ 2.05% ( 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.71% Total : 26.57% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 9.33% ( 2-2 @ 4.35% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 12.96% ( 0-2 @ 9.01% ( 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-3 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 4.1% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-4 @ 1.45% 1-4 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 46.3% |