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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 30.32% ( | 27.54% ( | 42.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.5% ( | 57.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.71% ( | 78.28% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.64% ( | 34.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.94% ( | 71.06% ( |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% ( | 26.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.73% ( | 62.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 3-1 @ 2.47% ( 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 3-2 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 30.32% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.25% ( 2-2 @ 4.54% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 12.13% ( 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0-2 @ 7.96% ( 1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0-4 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.13% |