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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Carlisle United

Harrogate
1 - 0
Carlisle

Vela (90+5' og.)
Taylor (26'), Morris (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Davies (30'), Whelan (55'), Hayden (67'), Vela (67')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Harrogate
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Walsall
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawCarlisle United
30.32% (0.038 0.04)27.54% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)42.13% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.96% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.5% (0.018000000000001 0.02)57.49% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)78.28% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.64% (0.042000000000002 0.04)34.35% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (0.042000000000002 0.04)71.06% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06% (-0.012 -0.01)26.93% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)62.27% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 30.32%
    Carlisle United 42.13%
    Draw 27.53%
Harrogate TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.93% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.28% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.88% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 30.32%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 9.25% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.53%
0-1 @ 12.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 7.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 3.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 42.13%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Carlisle
1-1
Harrogate
Armstrong (44')
Neal (39'), Mellish (74'), Robinson (82')
Daly (39')
Nov 14, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
2-0
Harrogate
Gibson (3', 79')
Garner (42')
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Harrogate
1-0
Carlisle
Folarin (23')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Carlisle
0-1
Harrogate
Huntington (82' og.)
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Harrogate
3-3
Carlisle
Armstrong (28'), Burrell (60'), Headley (76')
Charters (12'), Edmondson (50'), Moxon (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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