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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 64.35%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 15.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 64.35% | 19.97% | 15.67% |
| Both teams to score 53.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.47% | 41.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.07% | 63.93% |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.8% | 12.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.14% | 37.86% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.59% | 39.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.89% | 76.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 2-0 @ 10.63% 1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 7.46% 3-1 @ 6.95% 4-0 @ 3.93% 4-1 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-2 @ 1.7% 5-0 @ 1.65% 5-1 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.57% Total : 64.34% | 1-1 @ 9.42% 0-0 @ 4.81% 2-2 @ 4.61% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.97% | 0-1 @ 4.48% 1-2 @ 4.38% 0-2 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.43% 1-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.94% Total : 15.67% |