Oxford Utd

3 - 1

Plymouth

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.