De Graafschap
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 27, 2020 at 11.15am UK
De Vijverberg
NEC

De Graafschap
2 - 0
NEC

Hamdaoui (58', 60' pen.)
van Huizen (24'), Lelieveld (27'), Schuurman (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Elkarouani (52'), Odenthal (59')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and NEC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 55.17%. A win for NEC had a probability of 23.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 1-0 (7.38%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
De GraafschapDrawNEC
55.17%21.28%23.54%
Both teams to score 62.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.5%35.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.46%57.53%
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.07%12.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.63%39.36%
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09%27.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48%63.51%
Score Analysis
    De Graafschap 55.17%
    NEC 23.54%
    Draw 21.28%
De GraafschapDrawNEC
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 7.55%
1-0 @ 7.38%
3-1 @ 6.57%
3-0 @ 5.15%
3-2 @ 4.2%
4-1 @ 3.36%
4-0 @ 2.63%
4-2 @ 2.15%
5-1 @ 1.38%
5-0 @ 1.08%
4-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 55.17%
1-1 @ 9.42%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 3.61%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.28%
1-2 @ 6.01%
0-1 @ 4.6%
0-2 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 2.62%
1-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 23.54%

rhs 2.0


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