Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Estudiantes and Boca Juniors.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 40.2%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 28.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 1-2 (7.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.86%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 1-0 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 28.32% | 31.48% | 40.2% |
| Both teams to score 37.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.79% | 70.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.64% | 87.36% |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.9% | 43.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.63% | 79.37% |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.51% | 34.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.8% | 71.2% |
| Score Analysis |
Estudiantes 28.32%
Boca Juniors 40.19%
Draw 31.47%
| Estudiantes | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.51% 2-1 @ 5.61% 2-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 1.57% 3-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.89% Total : 28.32% | 0-0 @ 14.86% 1-1 @ 13.31% 2-2 @ 2.98% Other @ 0.32% Total : 31.47% | 0-1 @ 15.82% 0-2 @ 8.42% 1-2 @ 7.09% 0-3 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.19% |


