Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 17, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Palmeiras

Bolivar
1 - 2
Palmeiras

Riquelme (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Willian (34' pen.), Menino (60')
Rafael (36'), Menino (44'), Henrique (72'), D (90')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Bolivar and Palmeiras.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
BolivarDrawPalmeiras
35.28%26.48%38.24%
Both teams to score 52.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.71%52.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01%73.99%
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62%28.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88%64.12%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36%26.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.12%61.88%
Score Analysis
    Bolivar 35.28%
    Palmeiras 38.24%
    Draw 26.48%
BolivarDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 9.52%
2-1 @ 7.93%
2-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-0 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.28%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 10%
1-2 @ 8.33%
0-2 @ 6.61%
1-3 @ 3.67%
0-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 1.21%
0-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 38.24%

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