Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
|Both teams to score 46.17%|