Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Foolad had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Foolad win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.