Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Apr 19, 2025 at 12.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 1
Cardiff MU

Mooney (52'), Lloyd (68')
Hudson (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Roscrow (33')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 3-1 Caernarfon
Sunday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-1 Haverfordwest
Friday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
48.44% (1.086 1.09)24.67% (-0.237 -0.24)26.89% (-0.848 -0.85)
Both teams to score 54.59% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.11% (0.437 0.44)47.89% (-0.438 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.93% (0.401 0.4)70.07% (-0.402 -0.4)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (0.631 0.63)19.82% (-0.633 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.1% (1.014 1.01)51.89% (-1.015 -1.02)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08% (-0.422 -0.42)31.92% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.63% (-0.485 -0.49)68.37% (0.48400000000001 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 48.43%
    Cardiff MU 26.89%
    Draw 24.67%
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.29% (0.172 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.146 0.15)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.178 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.098 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.106 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 48.43%
1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.67%
0-1 @ 7.22% (-0.217 -0.22)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 26.89%

Head to Head
Mar 8, 2025 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Cardiff MU
4-2
Caernarfon
Reynolds (24'), Jones (56', 80'), Rees (72')
Rees (71')
Hudson (33'), Hill (46')
Lloyd (88'), Hudson (90+4'), Hill (90+4')
Oct 5, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Cardiff MU
1-2
Caernarfon
Rees (3')
Craven (90+4')
Lloyd (38', 56')
Clarke (82')
Downey (90+5'), Downey (90+5')
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
1-2
Cardiff MU
Lloyd (19' pen.)
Owen (22'), Lloyd (87')
Clubb (6'), Reynolds (42')
Edwards (67')
May 10, 2024 7.45pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Williams (86'), Davies (90')
Lloyd (63'), Williams (87')

Craven (48'), McCarthy (55')
Mar 23, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Caernarfon
1-2
Cardiff MU
Clarke (84')
Donohue (90+6')
Craven (5'), Jones (13')
Soady (45+4')
rhs 2.0


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