Mar 29, 2025 2.30pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Ben Ahmun 52'
77'
Jacob Owen 85'

Louis Lloyd 54'
Ryan Sears 75'

Haverfordwest County vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

All competitions

L
D
L
W
D
D

Welsh Premier League

L
D
L
W
D
D

Last game

Mar 21, 2025 7.45pm

Haverfordwest 1 - 2 Pen-y-Bont

Goals scored

42

Top scorer

Ben Ahmun

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

W
L
L
W
L
D

Welsh Premier League

W
L
L
W
L
D

Last game

Mar 21, 2025 7.45pm

Caernarfon 5 - 0 Bala Town

Goals scored

59

Top scorer

Louis Lloyd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 62.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

Haverfordwest County 62.35% ▲ (+0.03)

Draw 21.37% ▼ (-0.02)

Caernarfon Town 16.28% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score:

49.95% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.44% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 46.55% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 31.17% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 68.83% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 4.5 15.49% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 4.5 84.51% ▼ (-0.01)

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5 85.64% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 0.5 14.35% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 1.5 57.79% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 42.21% ▼ (-0.03)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 58.32% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 0.5 41.68% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 1.5 21.84% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 1.5 78.15% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Haverfordwest County 62.35%

Draw 21.37%

Caernarfon Town 16.28%

Haverfordwest County

1-0 @ 11.61% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 11.27% ▲ (+0.01)

2-1 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.01)

4-0 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.01)

4-1 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.01)

5-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)

4-2 @ 1.36%

5-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 2.56%

Total : 62.35%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.16%

0-0 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.91%

Total : 21.37%

Caernarfon Town

0-1 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.01)

1-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 1.75%

Total : 16.28%

Head to Head

Feb 8, 2025 2.30pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT The Oval

Louis Lloyd 26'
Joshua Lock 66'

Ben Fawcett 10'
Ben Ahmun 58'
Greg Walters 90'+2'

Oct 26, 2024 5.15pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Sam Downey 32'
Paulo Mendes 33'

Aug 17, 2024 5.15pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Danny Gosset 25'
Matthew Jones 75'

Ben Ahmun 73'
Owain Jones 90'+1'

Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Danny Gosset 42'
Dion Donohue 90'+4'
Gruff John Williams 90'+4'

Rio Dyer 73'
Rhys Abbruzzese 90'+4'

Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Kai Whitmore 26'
Rhys Abbruzzese 90'+6'

Marc Richard Williams 18'
Danny Gosset 27'
Ryan Austin 38'
Louis Lloyd 77'
Ben Wynne 90'+5'

Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Jack Wilson 10'
Kyle Patten 71'

Gruff John Williams 12'
Jordan Davies 74' (OG)

Form Data

Haverfordwest 1 - 2 Pen-y-Bont

Bala Town 0 - 0 Haverfordwest

New Saints 5 - 1 Haverfordwest

Haverfordwest 1 - 0 Cardiff MU

Caernarfon 1 - 1 Haverfordwest

Pen-y-Bont 0 - 0 Haverfordwest

Caernarfon 5 - 0 Bala Town

New Saints 2 - 0 Caernarfon

Cardiff MU 4 - 2 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 3 - 2 Pen-y-Bont

Caernarfon 0 - 1 New Saints

Caernarfon 1 - 1 Haverfordwest