Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Mar 29, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
1 - 1
Caernarfon

Ahmun (52')
(77'), Owen (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lloyd (54' pen.)
Sears (75')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-2 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 5-0 Bala Town
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 62.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawCaernarfon Town
62.35% (0.026999999999994 0.03)21.37% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)16.28% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.95% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.44% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)46.55% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (-0.004999999999999 -0)68.83% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64% (0.0040000000000049 0)14.35% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.79% (0.014999999999993 0.01)42.21% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.32% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)41.68% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.84% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)78.15% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 62.35%
    Caernarfon Town 16.28%
    Draw 21.37%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawCaernarfon Town
1-0 @ 11.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.36%
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 62.35%
1-1 @ 10.16%
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.37%
0-1 @ 5.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 16.28%

Head to Head
Feb 8, 2025 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
1-1
Haverfordwest
Lloyd (26')
Lock (66')
Fawcett (10')
Ahmun (58'), Walters (90+2')
Oct 26, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 14
Haverfordwest
0-0
Caernarfon
Downey (32'), Mendes (33')
Aug 17, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
1-2
Haverfordwest
Jones (75')
Gosset (25')
Ahmun (73'), Jones (90+1')
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Caernarfon
0-1
Haverfordwest

Gosset (42'), John Williams (90+4')
Donohue (90+4')
Dyer (73')
Abbruzzese (90+4')
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Haverfordwest
1-1
Caernarfon
Abbruzzese (90+6')
Whitmore (26')
Lloyd (77')
Richard Williams (18'), Gosset (27'), Austin (38'), Wynne (90+5')
rhs 2.0


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