Feb 8, 2025 2.30pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT The Oval

Louis Lloyd 26'
Joshua Lock 66'

Ben Fawcett 10'
Ben Ahmun 58'
Greg Walters 90'+2'

Caernarfon Town vs Haverfordwest County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

W
W
W
L
L
W

Welsh Premier League

W
W
W
L
L
W

Last game

Jan 31, 2025 7.45pm

Bala Town 1 - 3 Caernarfon

Goals scored

59

Top scorer

Louis Lloyd

Haverfordwest County

All competitions

D
W
D
W
W
W

Welsh Premier League

D
W
D
W
W
W

Last game

Feb 1, 2025 12.15pm

Pen-y-Bont 0 - 0 Haverfordwest

Goals scored

42

Top scorer

Ben Ahmun

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

Caernarfon Town 25.84% ▲ (+0.18)

Draw 25.34% ▲ (+0.25)

Haverfordwest County 48.82% ▼ (-0.42)

Both Teams to Score:

51.57% ▼ (-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.57% ▼ (-0.88)

Under 2.5 51.42% ▲ (+0.88)

Over 3.5 26.76% ▼ (-0.77)

Under 3.5 73.23% ▲ (+0.77)

Over 4.5 12.49% ▼ (-0.51)

Under 4.5 87.5% ▲ (+0.51)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 65.35% ▼ (-0.33)

Under 0.5 34.65% ▲ (+0.33)

Over 1.5 28.62% ▼ (-0.35)

Under 1.5 71.37% ▲ (+0.35)

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5 78.92% ▼ (-0.54)

Under 0.5 21.08% ▲ (+0.54)

Over 1.5 46.1% ▼ (-0.84)

Under 1.5 53.89% ▲ (+0.84)

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 25.84%

Draw 25.34%

Haverfordwest County 48.82%

Caernarfon Town

1-0 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.20)

2-1 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.08)

3-1 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)

3-2 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.05)

3-0 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 2.14%

Total : 25.84%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.05% ▲ (+0.13)

0-0 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.26)

2-2 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.08)

Other @ 1.01%

Total : 25.34%

Haverfordwest County

0-1 @ 11.37% ▲ (+0.21)

1-2 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.07)

0-2 @ 8.85% ▲ (+0.03)

1-3 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.12)

0-3 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.07)

2-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.09)

1-4 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.08)

0-4 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.06)

2-4 @ 1% ▼ (-0.06)

Other @ 2.49%

Total : 48.82%

Head to Head

Oct 26, 2024 5.15pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Sam Downey 32'
Paulo Mendes 33'

Aug 17, 2024 5.15pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Danny Gosset 25'
Matthew Jones 75'

Ben Ahmun 73'
Owain Jones 90'+1'

Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Danny Gosset 42'
Dion Donohue 90'+4'
Gruff John Williams 90'+4'

Rio Dyer 73'
Rhys Abbruzzese 90'+4'

Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Kai Whitmore 26'
Rhys Abbruzzese 90'+6'

Marc Richard Williams 18'
Danny Gosset 27'
Ryan Austin 38'
Louis Lloyd 77'
Ben Wynne 90'+5'

Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Jack Wilson 10'
Kyle Patten 71'

Gruff John Williams 12'
Jordan Davies 74' (OG)

Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT The Oval

Fidel O'Rourke 5'
Joe Faux 70'

Jack Wilson 57'

Form Data

Bala Town 1 - 3 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 3 - 0 Flint Town

Bala Town 0 - 2 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 2 - 5 New Saints

Aberystwyth 3 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 3 - 2 Barry

Pen-y-Bont 0 - 0 Haverfordwest

Haverfordwest 3 - 2 Bala Town

Barry 1 - 1 Haverfordwest

Haverfordwest 5 - 1 Briton Ferry

Haverfordwest 1 - 0 Aberystwyth

Newtown 0 - 2 Haverfordwest