Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3

Feb 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 1
Haverfordwest

Lloyd (26')
Lock (66')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Fawcett (10')
Ahmun (58'), Walters (90+2')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Bala Town 1-3 Caernarfon
Friday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Haverfordwest County

All competitions

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, February 1 at 12.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Haverfordwest County
25.84% ( 0.17)	25.34% ( 0.25)	48.82% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 51.57% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.57% (

-0.87)

51.42% (

0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.76% (

-0.76)

73.23% (

0.77)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.35% (

-0.33)

34.65% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.62% (

-0.35)

71.37% (

0.35)

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.92% (

-0.53)

21.08% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.1% (

-0.83)

53.89% (

0.83)

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 25.84%

Haverfordwest County 48.82%

Draw 25.34%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Haverfordwest County
1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 25.84%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.49% Total : 48.82%