MX23RW : Tuesday, March 25 12:17:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Feb 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 1
Haverfordwest

Lloyd (26')
Lock (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fawcett (10')
Ahmun (58'), Walters (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bala Town 1-3 Caernarfon
Friday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, February 1 at 12.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawHaverfordwest County
25.84% (0.171 0.17) 25.34% (0.25 0.25) 48.82% (-0.41999999999999 -0.42)
Both teams to score 51.57% (-0.60599999999999 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.57% (-0.872 -0.87)51.42% (0.874 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76% (-0.764 -0.76)73.23% (0.76599999999999 0.77)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.35% (-0.32600000000001 -0.33)34.65% (0.328 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.62% (-0.347 -0.35)71.37% (0.34899999999999 0.35)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (-0.532 -0.53)21.08% (0.532 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1% (-0.83300000000001 -0.83)53.89% (0.834 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 25.84%
    Haverfordwest County 48.82%
    Draw 25.34%
Caernarfon TownDrawHaverfordwest County
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 6.39% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.1% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.26% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.45% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 25.84%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.252 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 11.37% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 8.85% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.87% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.59% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.79% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 48.82%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 14
Haverfordwest
0-0
Caernarfon
Downey (32'), Mendes (33')
Aug 17, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
1-2
Haverfordwest
Jones (75')
Gosset (25')
Ahmun (73'), Jones (90+1')
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Caernarfon
0-1
Haverfordwest

Gosset (42'), John Williams (90+4')
Donohue (90+4')
Dyer (73')
Abbruzzese (90+4')
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Haverfordwest
1-1
Caernarfon
Abbruzzese (90+6')
Whitmore (26')
Lloyd (77')
Richard Williams (18'), Gosset (27'), Austin (38'), Wynne (90+5')
Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Haverfordwest
2-2
Caernarfon
Wilson (10'), Patten (71')
John Williams (12'), Davies (74' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints29240584285672
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont29177550282258
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest291310636211549
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon29135114946344
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU29126114143-242
6Bala TownBala Town29712103439-533
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry29127104650-443
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay291251246311541
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town29103164060-2033
4Briton Ferry2985164458-1429
5Newtown AFCNewtown2968153356-2326
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2952222366-4317
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!