Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2
Jan 31, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
1 - 3
Caernarfon

Robles (80')
Edwards (22'), Abadaki (45+1'), Burke (48'), Nalatche Mendes (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lock (6', 90+3'), Davies (14')
Davies (45+1'), Mendes (56')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 3-2 Bala Town
Saturday, January 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-0 Flint Town
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
48.04% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)24.74% (0.00099999999999767 0)27.23% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.65% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.06% (0.024999999999999 0.02)47.94% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.88% (0.021999999999998 0.02)70.12% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (0.00099999999999056 0)20.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.8% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)52.2% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (0.034999999999997 0.03)31.69% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.9% (0.041999999999998 0.04)68.1% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 48.04%
    Caernarfon Town 27.23%
    Draw 24.73%
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
1-0 @ 10.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 48.04%
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 6.34% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.29%
1-2 @ 6.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.19% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 27.23%

Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 12.45pm
Gameweek 21
Bala Town
0-2
Caernarfon

Lloyd (28'), Newell (41'), Harrison (87')
Owen (43'), Davies (90')
Sears (48')
Aug 26, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
0-0
Bala Town
Davies (16'), Mooney (42'), Downey (81'), John Williams (86'), Williams (90')
Kargbo (81'), Robles (88')
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
Gameweek 10
Caernarfon
2-2
Bala Town
Clarke (34'), Lloyd (68')
Cartwright (26')
Arsan (41'), Peate (52')
Smith (27'), Arsan (36'), Absalom (44')
Absalom (47')
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Bala Town
1-1
Caernarfon
Newell (40')
Arsan (57'), Roberts (76')
Davies (50')
Gosset (45+2'), Owen (71'), Bradley (90+5')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Bala Town
1-1
Caernarfon
Ukek (11')
Peate (34'), Roberts (45+1'), Smith (61'), Abadaki (79')
Davies (45+3')
Wynne (37'), Donohue (39'), Thomas (60')
rhs 2.0


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