Jan 31, 2025 7.45pm

1

3

HT : 0 2

FT Maes Tegid

Aeron Edwards 22'
Osebi Abadaki 45'+1'
Nathan Burke 48'
Lassana Nalatche Mendes 54'
Louis Robles 80'

Joshua Lock 6'
Adam Davies 14'
Adam Davies 45'+1'
Paulo Mendes 56'
Joshua Lock 90'+3'

Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions

L
W
L
D
W
W

Welsh Premier League

L
W
L
D
W
W

Last game

Jan 25, 2025 2.30pm

Haverfordwest 3 - 2 Bala Town

Goals scored

38

Top scorer

Joe Malkin

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

W
W
L
L
W
D

Welsh Premier League

W
W
L
L
W
D

Last game

Jan 14, 2025 7.45pm

Caernarfon 3 - 0 Flint Town

Goals scored

59

Top scorer

Louis Lloyd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result

Bala Town 48.04% ▼ (-0.03)

Draw 24.74% ▲ (+0.01)

Caernarfon Town 27.23% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score:

54.65% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.06% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 2.5 47.94% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 3.5 29.88% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 3.5 70.12% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 4.5 14.59% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 4.5 85.41% ▼ (-0.02)

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5 79.99% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 0.5 20.01% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 1.5 47.8% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 52.2% ▲ (+0.01)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 68.31% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 0.5 31.69% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 1.5 31.9% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 1.5 68.1% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Bala Town 48.04%

Draw 24.73%

Caernarfon Town 27.23%

Bala Town

1-0 @ 10.2% ▼ (-0.02)

2-1 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 8.21% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.01)

4-1 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)

4-0 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.01)

4-2 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 2.85%

Total : 48.04%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.72%

0-0 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.01)

3-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.14%

Total : 24.73%

Caernarfon Town

0-1 @ 7.29%

1-2 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.01)

0-2 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.01)

1-3 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)

0-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 2.76%

Total : 27.23%

Head to Head

Jan 11, 2025 12.45pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Maes Tegid

Kieran Lloyd 28'
George Newell 41'
Kyle Harrison 87'

Morgan Owen 43'
Ryan Sears 48'
Adam Davies 90'

Aug 26, 2024 2.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Adam Davies 16'
Phil Mooney 42'
Sam Downey 81'
Gruff John Williams 86'
Marc Williams 90'

Uniss Kargbo 81'
Louis Robles 88'

Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT The Oval

Iwan Cartwright 26'
Zack Clarke 34'
Louis Lloyd 68'

Kieran Smith 27'
Naim Arsan 36'
Naim Arsan 41'
Kelland Absalom 44'
Kelland Absalom 47'
Nathan Peate 52'

Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Maes Tegid

George Newell 40'
Naim Arsan 57'
Iwan Roberts 76'

Danny Gosset 45'+2'
Adam Davies 50'
Morgan Owen 71'
Sion Bradley 90'+5'

Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Maes Tegid

Joshua Ukek 11'
Nathan Peate 34'
Iwan Roberts 45'+1'
Kieran Smith 61'
Osebi Abadaki 79'

Ben Wynne 37'
Dion Donohue 39'
Adam Davies 45'+3'
Darren Thomas 60'

Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Zack Clarke 75'

Nathan Peate 41'
Naim Arsan 56'
Kyle Harrison 68'
Oliver Shannon 69'

Form Data

Haverfordwest 3 - 2 Bala Town

Connah's Quay 0 - 2 Bala Town

Bala Town 0 - 2 Caernarfon

Aberystwyth 0 - 0 Bala Town

Bala Town 3 - 1 Barry

Bala Town 1 - 0 New Saints

Caernarfon 3 - 0 Flint Town

Bala Town 0 - 2 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 2 - 5 New Saints

Aberystwyth 3 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 3 - 2 Barry

Connah's Quay 1 - 1 Caernarfon