Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Feb 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
1 - 0
Cardiff MU

Fawcett (68')
(88'), Shepherd (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Edwards (38'), Vincent (52'), Morgan (73')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Bala Town
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 68.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 11.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.98%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawCardiff MU
68.71% (0.013999999999996 0.01)19.48% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)11.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.26% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.09% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)47.91% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.91% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)70.09% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)12.87% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.74% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)39.25% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.8% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)49.2% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.9% (-0.029 -0.03)84.09% (0.027999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 68.7%
    Cardiff MU 11.81%
    Draw 19.48%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawCardiff MU
2-0 @ 13.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 12.98% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 9.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 4.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 68.7%
1-1 @ 9.21% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 19.48%
0-1 @ 4.49%
1-2 @ 3.27% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 11.81%

Head to Head
Sep 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Haverfordwest
1-0
Cardiff MU
Jones (55')
Watts (20')

Roscrow (8'), Clubb (40'), Reynolds (61')
Aug 26, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Cardiff MU
0-0
Haverfordwest
Jones (3'), Humphreys (50'), McCarthy (58')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Haverfordwest
1-1
Cardiff MU
Fawcett (45')
Fawcett (87')
Vincent (28')
Craven (34')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Cardiff MU
1-1
Haverfordwest
Rees (88')
Lewis (89')
Whitmore (62' pen.)
Watts (15'), Whitmore (57'), Tabone (90+1')
May 6, 2023 5.15pm
Cardiff MU
0-0
Haverfordwest
(Aggregate 0-0 | Haverfordwest win 4-3 on penalties)