Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 68.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 11.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.98%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.