Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MU	Draw	Bala Town
32.8% ( -0)	24.92% ( -0.05)	42.28% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 57.25% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.02% (

0.21)

45.98% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.72% (

0.2)

68.28% (

-0.2)

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.15% (

0.1)

26.85% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.85% (

0.13)

62.15% (

-0.13)

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.26% (

0.11)

21.74% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.08% (

0.18)

54.92% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Cardiff MU 32.8%

Bala Town 42.28%

Draw 24.91%

Cardiff MU	Draw	Bala Town
2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.8%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.91%	1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 42.28%