Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
0 - 2
New Saints


Jones (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Oteh (40' pen.), Clay (89' og.)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-2 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, December 31 at 5.45pm in Welsh Premier League

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Newtown
Saturday, January 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 66.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 16.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawThe New Saints
16.7% (-0.11 -0.11)17.08% (0.042999999999999 0.04)66.22% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 67.08% (-0.447 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.89% (-0.43600000000001 -0.44)25.11% (0.437 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.94% (-0.57 -0.57)45.06% (0.573 0.57)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (-0.40599999999999 -0.41)27.71% (0.408 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (-0.524 -0.52)63.28% (0.526 0.53)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.79% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)7.21% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.84% (-0.26100000000001 -0.26)26.16% (0.263 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 16.7%
    The New Saints 66.22%
    Draw 17.08%
Cardiff MUDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 4.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 2.56% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.85% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.64% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 16.7%
1-1 @ 6.74% (0.081 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.13% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-0 @ 2% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 17.08%
1-2 @ 8.87% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 7.77% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.91% (0.125 0.13)
0-3 @ 6.06% (0.077 0.08)
0-1 @ 5.25% (0.122 0.12)
1-4 @ 5.11% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.99% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-4 @ 3.98% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 3.28% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-5 @ 2.69% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-5 @ 2.1% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.73% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.4% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-6 @ 1.18% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-6 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 4%
Total : 66.22%

Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
New Saints
3-0
Cardiff MU
Cadwallader (3' og.), Davies (21'), Oteh (63')
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Cardiff MU
0-5
New Saints
McManus (27', 75'), Williams (47'), Horlock (85'), Smith (89')
Mar 2, 2024 12.45pm
Gameweek 4
New Saints
4-0
Cardiff MU
B (16'), Young (22', 85' pen.), Clark (31')

Lang (12')
Lewis (81')
Jan 6, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
New Saints
8-0
Cardiff MU
Brobbel (29' pen., 41'), Young (36', 43', 62'), Cieslewicz (49'), McManus (61'), Holden (88')
Daniels (16')

Rees (29')
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Cardiff MU
1-5
New Saints
Clubb (35')
Vincent (31'), McCarthy (37'), Lewis (44'), Craven (75')
Evans (86')
Williams (16'), Young (24', 26'), Clark (69'), Brobbel (87' pen.)
Hudson (42'), Daniels (57'), Young (63')