Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 66.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 16.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.