Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
2 - 0
Caernarfon

Sears (45+1' og.), Bradley (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Last Game: New Saints 5-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, March 8 at 12.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 4-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, March 8 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 86.63%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 4.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 4-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.99%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (1.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawCaernarfon Town
86.63% (0.251 0.25)8.87% (-0.289 -0.29)4.49% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.94% (2.297 2.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.96% (2.152 2.15)22.03% (-2.147 -2.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.06% (2.903 2.9)40.94% (-2.899 -2.9)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.65% (0.379 0.38)3.34% (-0.374 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.29% (1.256 1.26)14.71% (-1.252 -1.25)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.67% (2.184 2.18)48.33% (-2.181 -2.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.53% (1.542 1.54)83.47% (-1.537 -1.54)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 86.63%
    Caernarfon Town 4.49%
    Draw 8.87%
The New SaintsDrawCaernarfon Town
3-0 @ 10.56% (-0.6 -0.6)
2-0 @ 9.33% (-0.84 -0.84)
4-0 @ 8.98% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-1 @ 7.69% (0.058 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.79% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-1 @ 6.53% (0.251 0.25)
5-0 @ 6.1% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 5.49% (-0.691 -0.69)
5-1 @ 4.44% (0.304 0.3)
6-0 @ 3.46% (0.136 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.189 0.19)
6-1 @ 2.51% (0.245 0.25)
4-2 @ 2.37% (0.23 0.23)
7-0 @ 1.68% (0.116 0.12)
5-2 @ 1.61% (0.202 0.2)
7-1 @ 1.22% (0.154 0.15)
6-2 @ 0.91% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 86.63%
1-1 @ 3.99% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-2 @ 2.47% (0.093 0.09)
0-0 @ 1.62% (-0.262 -0.26)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 8.87%
1-2 @ 1.45% (0.01 0.01)
0-1 @ 1.18% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 4.49%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Caernarfon
0-1
New Saints

John Williams (56'), Downey (65'), (90+6'), Jones (90+7'), Jones (90+7')
Wilson (21')
Pask (90+5')
Dec 26, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Caernarfon
2-5
New Saints
Lloyd (5'), Clarke (18')
Mooney (64')
Bodenham (2', 40'), Williams (11'), Clark (73', 74')
Oct 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
New Saints
1-2
Caernarfon
Smith (12')
Clarke (33'), Lloyd (82')
Apr 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
New Saints
7-1
Caernarfon
McManus (7', 59' pen.), Clark (13'), Cieslewicz (16', 47'), Redmond (22'), Hudson (90')
Lloyd (72')
Maher (33')
Maher (33')
Feb 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
1-8
New Saints
Bradley (7')
Young (2', 34', 49'), Cieslewicz (30', 31'), Holden (55', 90'), Hudson (85')
Young (73')
rhs 2.0


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