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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Feb 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
0 - 2
New Saints


Edwards (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Smith (1'), Williams (76')
Oteh (61')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Bala Town
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

The New Saints

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-1 New Saints
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 63.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 16.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Bala Town win it was 2-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for The New Saints in this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawThe New Saints
16.71% (0.306 0.31)20.28% (0.235 0.23)63.01% (-0.54 -0.54)
Both teams to score 54.54% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.07% (-0.518 -0.52)40.93% (0.519 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.68% (-0.53 -0.53)63.32% (0.53100000000001 0.53)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.25% (0.052 0.05)37.74% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.48% (0.053000000000001 0.05)74.52% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (-0.30799999999999 -0.31)12.39% (0.309 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.73% (-0.648 -0.65)38.26% (0.649 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 16.71%
    The New Saints 63%
    Draw 20.28%
Bala TownDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 4.64% (0.067 0.07)
1-0 @ 4.56% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 2.22% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.006 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.51% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 16.71%
1-1 @ 9.52% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.11 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.28%
0-2 @ 10.19%
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.77% (0.114 0.11)
0-3 @ 7.1% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 6.92% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
0-4 @ 3.71% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-4 @ 3.61% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.76% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.55% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-5 @ 1.51% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 63%

Head to Head
Dec 4, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Bala Town
1-0
New Saints
Newell (39' pen.)
Clarke (42'), Kargbo (45+2'), Mehasseb (89')

McManus (37'), Roberts (39'), Bodenham (45+1')
Sep 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
New Saints
2-3
Bala Town
Bradley (6'), Williams (87')
Daniels (73')
Norton (12'), Downes (90+2'), Mehasseb (90+8')
Edwards (77')
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
New Saints
4-1
Bala Town
Redmond (7', 12'), Williams (41'), McManus (68')
Mendes (33')
Smith (64'), Shannon (71')
Feb 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Bala Town
0-1
New Saints

Smith (71')
Young (45')
Redmond (20'), McManus (88')
Oct 28, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 14
New Saints
2-0
Bala Town
Clark (39'), Brobbel (44' pen.)
Redmond (34')

Peate (61'), Abadaki (65')