Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2025 at 12.15pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
5 - 1
Haverfordwest

Tabone (19' og.), Davies (22'), Oteh (29'), Marshall (61'), Williams (76')
Williams (78')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Jones (33')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Last Game: Bala Town 0-2 New Saints
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-0 Cardiff MU
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 76.11%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 8.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.6%) and 1-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawHaverfordwest County
76.11%15.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)8.51%
Both teams to score 45.58% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.21% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.54% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.38% (0.0019999999999953 0)8.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.26% (0.0019999999999953 0)29.74%
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.88% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.12% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.26% (0.0010000000000012 0)84.74% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 76.1%
    Haverfordwest County 8.51%
    Draw 15.38%
The New SaintsDrawHaverfordwest County
2-0 @ 12.97%
3-0 @ 10.6%
1-0 @ 10.58%
2-1 @ 8.96%
3-1 @ 7.33%
4-0 @ 6.5%
4-1 @ 4.49%
5-0 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 2.53%
5-1 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 76.1%
1-1 @ 7.31%
0-0 @ 4.32%
2-2 @ 3.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 15.38%
0-1 @ 2.98%
1-2 @ 2.53%
0-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 8.51%

Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
New Saints
2-1
Haverfordwest
Pask (36'), Baker (52')
Pask (24'), Williams (54')
Fawcett (18')
McCarthy (22'), Tabone (31')
Sep 7, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Haverfordwest
0-1
New Saints

Watts (38'), Walters (55'), Ahmun (78')
Cieslewicz (21')
Bradley (56'), Ahmun (80')
Dec 23, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Haverfordwest
0-1
New Saints

Watts (12')
Baker (80')
Young (15'), Marriott (44'), Williams (85'), Routledge (90+2')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
New Saints
5-1
Haverfordwest
Smith (24'), Hudson (49'), Brobbel (74', 76', 83')
Young (40'), Canavan (61')
Jenkins (69')
Fawcett (20'), Owen (21'), Maxwell Jones (40'), Taylor-Crossdale (41'), Whitmore (57')
Jan 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
New Saints
3-1
Haverfordwest
Clark (15'), Brobbel (19'), McManus (89')
Fawcett (62')