Mar 21, 2025 7.45pm

5

0

HT : 1 0

FT The Oval

Sam Downey 33'
Louis Lloyd 50'
Sam Downey 57'
Louis Lloyd 63'
Louis Lloyd 74'

Nathan Peate 45'+1'

Caernarfon Town vs Bala Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

L
L
W
L
D
W

Welsh Premier League

L
L
W
L
D
W

Last game

Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm

New Saints 2 - 0 Caernarfon

Goals scored

59

Top scorer

Louis Lloyd

Bala Town

All competitions

D
L
L
L
L
L

Welsh Premier League

D
L
L
L
L
L

Last game

Mar 15, 2025 2.30pm

Bala Town 0 - 0 Haverfordwest

Goals scored

38

Top scorer

Joe Malkin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result

Caernarfon Town 34.21% ▼ (-0.02)

Draw 24.84% ▼ (-0.02)

Bala Town 40.95% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score:

57.92% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.72% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 2.5 45.28% ▼ (-0.08)

Over 3.5 32.38% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 3.5 67.62% ▼ (-0.07)

Over 4.5 16.35% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 4.5 83.65% ▼ (-0.05)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 74.34% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 0.5 25.66% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 1.5 39.43% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 60.57% ▼ (-0.04)

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.92% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 0.5 22.08% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 1.5 44.57% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 1.5 55.43% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 34.21%

Draw 24.84%

Bala Town 40.95%

Caernarfon Town

2-1 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.01)

1-0 @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.02)

2-0 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)

3-0 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)

4-1 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 3.45%

Total : 34.21%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.64% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.02)

3-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.19%

Total : 24.84%

Bala Town

1-2 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.01)

0-1 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.02)

0-2 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.01)

1-3 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.01)

0-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)

1-4 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.01)

0-4 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)

2-4 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 2.4%

Total : 40.95%

Head to Head

Jan 31, 2025 7.45pm

1

3

HT : 0 2

FT Maes Tegid

Aeron Edwards 22'
Osebi Abadaki 45'+1'
Nathan Burke 48'
Lassana Nalatche Mendes 54'
Louis Robles 80'

Joshua Lock 6'
Adam Davies 14'
Adam Davies 45'+1'
Paulo Mendes 56'
Joshua Lock 90'+3'

Jan 11, 2025 12.45pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Maes Tegid

Kieran Lloyd 28'
George Newell 41'
Kyle Harrison 87'

Morgan Owen 43'
Ryan Sears 48'
Adam Davies 90'

Aug 26, 2024 2.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Adam Davies 16'
Phil Mooney 42'
Sam Downey 81'
Gruff John Williams 86'
Marc Williams 90'

Uniss Kargbo 81'
Louis Robles 88'

Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT The Oval

Iwan Cartwright 26'
Zack Clarke 34'
Louis Lloyd 68'

Kieran Smith 27'
Naim Arsan 36'
Naim Arsan 41'
Kelland Absalom 44'
Kelland Absalom 47'
Nathan Peate 52'

Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Maes Tegid

George Newell 40'
Naim Arsan 57'
Iwan Roberts 76'

Danny Gosset 45'+2'
Adam Davies 50'
Morgan Owen 71'
Sion Bradley 90'+5'

Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Maes Tegid

Joshua Ukek 11'
Nathan Peate 34'
Iwan Roberts 45'+1'
Kieran Smith 61'
Osebi Abadaki 79'

Ben Wynne 37'
Dion Donohue 39'
Adam Davies 45'+3'
Darren Thomas 60'

Form Data

New Saints 2 - 0 Caernarfon

Cardiff MU 4 - 2 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 3 - 2 Pen-y-Bont

Caernarfon 0 - 1 New Saints

Caernarfon 1 - 1 Haverfordwest

Bala Town 1 - 3 Caernarfon

Bala Town 0 - 0 Haverfordwest

Pen-y-Bont 3 - 2 Bala Town

Bala Town 0 - 2 New Saints

Cardiff MU 2 - 1 Bala Town

Bala Town 1 - 3 Caernarfon

Haverfordwest 3 - 2 Bala Town