Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Mar 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Bala Town logo

Caernarfon
5 - 0
Bala Town

Downey (33', 57'), Lloyd (50', 63', 74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Peate (45+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: New Saints 2-0 Caernarfon
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Bala Town

All competitions
Last Game: Bala Town 0-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, March 15 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
34.21% (-0.012 -0.01)24.84% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)40.95% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.92% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72% (0.066000000000003 0.07)45.28% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38% (0.064 0.06)67.62% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34% (0.022999999999996 0.02)25.66% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.43% (0.032999999999994 0.03)60.57% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92% (0.040000000000006 0.04)22.08% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.57% (0.064 0.06)55.43% (-0.067 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 34.21%
    Bala Town 40.95%
    Draw 24.84%
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.38% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.21%
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.84%
1-2 @ 8.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.43% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 40.95%

Head to Head
Jan 31, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Bala Town
1-3
Caernarfon
Robles (80')
Edwards (22'), Abadaki (45+1'), Burke (48'), Nalatche Mendes (54')
Lock (6', 90+3'), Davies (14')
Davies (45+1'), Mendes (56')
Jan 11, 2025 12.45pm
Gameweek 21
Bala Town
0-2
Caernarfon

Lloyd (28'), Newell (41'), Harrison (87')
Owen (43'), Davies (90')
Sears (48')
Aug 26, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
0-0
Bala Town
Davies (16'), Mooney (42'), Downey (81'), John Williams (86'), Williams (90')
Kargbo (81'), Robles (88')
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
Gameweek 10
Caernarfon
2-2
Bala Town
Clarke (34'), Lloyd (68')
Cartwright (26')
Arsan (41'), Peate (52')
Smith (27'), Arsan (36'), Absalom (44')
Absalom (47')
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Bala Town
1-1
Caernarfon
Newell (40')
Arsan (57'), Roberts (76')
Davies (50')
Gosset (45+2'), Owen (71'), Bradley (90+5')
rhs 2.0


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