Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Bala Town win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.