Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Bala Town win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-Bont	Draw	Bala Town
51.19% ( -0)	26.21% ( 0.01)	22.6% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 45.87% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.73% (

-0.05)

57.27% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.89% (

-0.04)

78.11% (

0.04)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.53% (

-0.02)

22.47% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.98% (

-0.03)

56.01% (

0.03)

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.16% (

-0.04)

40.84% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.59% (

-0.03)

77.41% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Pen-y-Bont 51.17%

Bala Town 22.6%

Draw 26.2%

Pen-y-Bont	Draw	Bala Town
1-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 51.17%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.2%	0-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 1.25% Total : 22.6%