Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Metz had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Metz |
38.73% ( -0.42) | 26.34% ( 0.15) | 34.93% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 52.95% ( -0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.25% ( -0.58) | 51.75% ( 0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.48% ( -0.5) | 73.52% ( 0.5) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.88% ( -0.5) | 26.12% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.81% ( -0.67) | 61.19% ( 0.67) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.67% ( -0.11) | 28.33% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.94% ( -0.14) | 64.06% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.73% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |