Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 41%. A win for had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%).
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Metz |
| 31.32% | 27.68% | 41% |
| Both teams to score 47.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.3% | 57.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.55% | 78.45% |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% | 33.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.61% | 70.39% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% | 27.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.81% | 63.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 7.08% 2-0 @ 5.51% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-0 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.39% Total : 31.31% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.33% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 11.99% 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 7.71% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 1.15% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.87% Total : 41% |