AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Jun 24, 2021 at 11am UK
Chang Arena

Guangzhou
0 - 2
Cerezo


Lisheng (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Okuno (15'), Tiago (69')
Seko (90+3')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Guangzhou and Cerezo Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
GuangzhouDrawCerezo Osaka
48.22%24.6%27.18%
Both teams to score 55.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.63%47.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.41%69.59%
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3%19.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29%51.71%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.58%31.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2%67.8%
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou 48.22%
    Cerezo Osaka 27.18%
    Draw 24.59%
GuangzhouDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.46%
2-0 @ 8.17%
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-0 @ 4.42%
3-2 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 48.22%
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 6.19%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 7.17%
1-2 @ 6.74%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 27.18%

How you voted: Guangzhou vs Cerezo

Guangzhou
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Cerezo Osaka
10.0%
10
rhs 2.0


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